Njengoko sijonge ku-2025, imeko yorhwebo lwehlabathi ibonakala ingumceli mngeni kwaye izele ngamathuba. Ukungaqiniseki okumandla okufana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokuxinezeleka ngokwelizwe kuyaqhubeleka, kodwa ukomelela kunye nokuguquguquka kwemarike yorhwebo yehlabathi inika isiseko esizele lithemba. Uphuhliso oluphambili lwalo nyaka lubonisa ukuba utshintsho lwesakhiwo kurhwebo lwehlabathi luyakhula ngokukhawuleza, ngakumbi phantsi kweempembelelo ezimbini zenkqubela phambili yobuchwepheshe kunye nokutshintsha kwamaziko oqoqosho.
Ngo-2024, urhwebo lweempahla zehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba lukhule nge-2.7% ukufikelela kwi-33 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, ngokutsho kweWTO. Nangona eli nani lisezantsi kunoqikelelo lwangaphambili, lisaqaqambisa ukomelela kunye nokubakho kohlumo kwihlabathi
urhwebo. I-China, njengelinye lamazwe arhwebayo amakhulu ehlabathi, ihleli iyinjini ebalulekileyo kuhlumo lorhwebo lwehlabathi, iqhubekeka ukudlala indima encomekayo ngaphandle koxinzelelo oluvela kwiimfuno zangaphakathi nezamazwe ngamazwe.
Sijonge phambili ku-2025, iindlela ezininzi eziphambili ziya kuba nefuthe elibi kurhwebo lwehlabathi. Okokuqala, ukuqhubela phambili okuqhubekayo kwetheknoloji, ngakumbi ukusetyenziswa okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe bedijithali obufana ne-AI kunye ne-5G, kuya kuphucula kakhulu ukusebenza kakuhle kwezorhwebo kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zokuthengiselana. Ngokukodwa, inguqu yedijithali iya kuba yinto ebalulekileyo eqhuba ukukhula kwezorhwebo, okwenza ukuba amashishini amaninzi athathe inxaxheba kwimarike yehlabathi. Okwesibini, ukuchacha kancinci koqoqosho lwehlabathi kuya kuqhuba ukwanda kwemfuno, ngakumbi kwiimarike ezikhulayo ezifana ne-Indiya kunye ne-Asia-mpuma ye-Asiya, eziya kuba ziimbalasane ezintsha kuhlumo lorhwebo lwehlabathi. Ukongeza, ukuphunyezwa okuqhubekayo kwenyathelo elithi "Belt and Road" kuya kukhuthaza intsebenziswano yorhwebo phakathi kweTshayina kunye namazwe asecaleni kwendlela.
Nangona kunjalo, indlela eya ekuchacheni ayinamcelimngeni. Imiba ye-Geopolitical iseyeyona nto iphambili yokungaqiniseki echaphazela urhwebo lwehlabathi. Imiba eqhubekayo efana nengxabano yaseRashiya-ye-Ukrainian, ingxabano yorhwebo phakathi kwe-US ne-China, kunye nokukhuselwa kwezorhwebo kwamanye amazwe kubangela imingeni kuphuhliso oluzinzileyo lwezorhwebo zehlabathi. Ngaphezu koko, isantya sokubuya koqoqosho lwehlabathi sisenokungalingani, nto leyo ekhokelela ekuguquguqukeni kwamaxabiso eemveliso kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yorhwebo.
Phezu kwayo nje le mingeni, kukho izizathu zokuba nethemba ngekamva. Ukuqhubela phambili okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe akuqhubeli nje inguqu kumashishini emveli kodwa kuzisa namathuba amatsha orhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe. Logama oorhulumente kunye namashishini besebenza kunye ukulungisa le mingeni, u-2025 kungenzeka ukuba angenise umjikelo omtsha wokukhula korhwebo lwehlabathi.
Ngamafutshane, imbonakalo yorhwebo lwehlabathi ngo-2025 inethemba kodwa ifuna ukuphaphama kunye nokusabela okubonakalayo kwimingeni eqhubekayo nesakhulayo. Nokuba kunjalo, ukomelela okuboniswe kulo nyaka uphelileyo kusinike isizathu sokukholelwa ukuba urhwebo lwehlabathi jikelele luya kuzisa ikamva eliqaqambileyo.
Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-07-2024
