Kunyaka ophawulwe kukungavisisani ngokwelizwe, ukuguquguquka kwemali, kunye nemeko eguquguqukayo yezivumelwano zorhwebo zamazwe ngamazwe, uqoqosho lwehlabathi lufumene imingeni kunye namathuba. Xa sijonga emva kutshintsho lwezorhwebo luka-2024, kuyacaca ukuba ukuziqhelanisa kunye nobuchule bokubona kwangaphambili bekubalulekile kumashishini ajolise ukuphumelela kule meko inzima. Eli nqaku lishwankathela uphuhliso oluphambili kurhwebo lwehlabathi kulo nyaka uphelileyo kwaye libonelela ngembonakalo yoshishino ngo-2025.
Ngowama-2024 iMeko yoRhwebo: Unyaka wokuZinzisa kunye noLungiso
Unyaka ka-2024 wawuphawulwe lulungelelwano olubuthathaka phakathi kokuchacha emva kobhubhane kunye nokuvela kokungaqiniseki okutsha kwezoqoqosho. Ngaphandle kwethemba lokuqala eliphenjelelwa ngamaphulo okugonya axhaphakileyo kunye nokunciphisa amanyathelo okutshixa, izinto ezininzi ziphazamise ukuhamba ngesikhephe kurhwebo lwehlabathi.
1. Iziphazamiso zesiXeko soBonelelo:Ukuphazamiseka okuqhubekayo kwiintambo zokubonelela ngehlabathi, ezibangelwa yintlekele yendalo, ukungazinzi kwezopolitiko, kunye neebhotile zempahla, zaqhubeka zithwaxa abathengisi kunye nabangaphandle ngokufanayo. Ukunqongophala kwe-semiconductor, eyaqala ngo-2023, iqhubekile ukuya ku-2024, ichaphazela amashishini amaninzi, ukusuka kwiimoto ukuya kwi-elektroniki yabathengi.
2. Uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso:Ukunyuka kwamazinga okunyuka kwamaxabiso, okuqhutywa kukunyuka kwemfuno, imiqobo yokubonelela, kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yemali eyandisiweyo, kukhokelele kwiindleko eziphezulu zemveliso kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso eempahla neenkonzo kwihlabathi jikelele. Oku kube nefuthe elithe ngqo kwibhalansi yorhwebo, namanye amazwe afumana intsilelo enkulu yorhwebo.
3. Ukuguquguquka kwemali:Ixabiso leemali xa lithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika libone ukuguquguquka okukhulu unyaka wonke, kuphenjelelwa yimigaqo-nkqubo yebhanki enguvimba, utshintsho lwenzala kunye novakalelo lwemarike. Iimali zemarike ezikhulayo, ingakumbi, ziye zajongana noxinzelelo lokuhla kwexabiso, okuchaphazela ukukhuphisana kwazo kurhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe.
4. IziVumelwano zoRhwebo kunye neeNxwabangxwaba: Ngelixa eminye imimandla ibone ukutyikitywa kwezivumelwano zorhwebo ezitsha ezijolise ekwandiseni intsebenziswano yezoqoqosho, eminye inengxaki yokungavisisani kwezorhwebo. Uthethwano ngokutsha lwezivumelwano ezikhoyo kunye nokumiselwa kwamaxabiso amatsha kudala imeko yorhwebo engalindelekanga, nto leyo eyabangela ukuba iinkampani ziphinde zivavanye izicwangciso zazo zekhonkco lonikezelo lwehlabathi.
5. Amanyathelo oRhwebo lokuHlaza:Phakathi kweenkxalabo ezikhulayo malunga nokutshintsha kwemozulu, kubekho utshintsho oluphawulekayo olubhekiselele kwiindlela zorhwebo ezizinzileyo. Amazwe amaninzi aphumeza imimiselo engqongqo yokusingqongileyo ekuthengisweni kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle nangaphandle, ekhuthaza ukwamkelwa kobuchwepheshe bohlaza kunye nokubonelela ngenkathalo.
Ujongo luka-2025: UkuTshatisa iSifundo phakathi kokungaqiniseki
Njengoko singena ku-2025, ibala lorhwebo lwehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba liqhubele phambili noguquko lwalo, olubunjwe kukuhambela phambili kobuchwepheshe, ukutshintsha kwezinto ezikhethwa ngabathengi, kunye nokutshintsha kotshintsho lwe-geopolitical. Nazi iindlela eziphambili kunye noqikelelo lonyaka ozayo:
1. IDigitalization kunye ne-E-commerce Boom:Ukukhawuleza kwenguqu yedijithali ngaphakathi kwecandelo lezorhwebo kumiselwe ukuqhubeka, kunye namaqonga e-e-commerce adlala indima ebaluleke kakhulu kwiintengiselwano eziwela imida. Itekhnoloji yeBlockchain, i-AI-powered logistics, kunye nohlalutyo lwedatha oluphezulu luya kuphucula ngakumbi ukungafihli, ukusebenza kakuhle, kunye nokhuseleko kwimisebenzi yorhwebo yehlabathi.
2. Ubuchule bokwahluka:Ukusabela kubuthathaka obuqhubekayo bekhonkco lonikezelo, amashishini kunokwenzeka ukuba amkele iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokufumana iindlela, ukunciphisa ukuthembela kubaboneleli ababodwa okanye imimandla. Amanyathelo okusondela kunye nokubuyisela elunxwemeni anokuzuza amandla njengoko iinkampani zifuna ukunciphisa imingcipheko eyayanyaniswa nongquzulwano lwelizwe kunye nothutho oluthatha ixesha elide.
3. IiNdlela zoRhwebo eziZinzileyo:Ngezibophelelo ze-COP26 ezithatha indawo esembindini, uzinzo luya kuba yingqwalasela engundoqo kwizigqibo zorhwebo. Iinkampani ezibeka phambili iimveliso ezilungele i-eco-friendly, iimodeli zoqoqosho ezijikelezayo, kunye nokunciphisa i-carbon footprint ziya kufumana umda wokukhuphisana kwimarike.
4. Ukuqiniswa kweeBhloko zoRhwebo zeNgingqi:Phakathi kokungaqiniseki kwehlabathi, izivumelwano zorhwebo zommandla ezifana noMmandla woRhwebo lweLizwekazi lase-Afrika (i-AfCFTA) kunye neNtsebenziswano eBanzi yoQoqosho yoMmandla (i-RCEP) zilindeleke ukuba zidlale indima ebalulekileyo ekukhuthazeni urhwebo phakathi kommandla nomanyano lwezoqoqosho. Ezi blocs zinokusebenza njengezikhuseli ngokuchasene nezothuso zangaphandle kwaye zibonelele ngeemarike ezizezinye kumazwe angamalungu.
5. Ukuziqhelanisa nemigaqo emitsha yoRhwebo:Ihlabathi lasemva kobhubhani lingenise imigaqo emitsha yorhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, kubandakanywa namalungiselelo omsebenzi akude, uthethathethwano lwenyani, kunye nokwenziwa kwekhontrakthi yedijithali. Iifemu ezikhawuleza ukuziqhelanisa nolu tshintsho kwaye zityale imali ekuphuculeni izakhono zabasebenzi bazo ziya kuba kwindawo engcono ukusebenzisa amathuba asakhulayo.
Ukuqukumbela, imeko yorhwebo lwehlabathi ngo-2025 ithembisa imingeni kunye namathemba okukhula. Ngokuhlala uphaphile, ukwamkela ukusungula izinto ezintsha, kunye nokuzibophelela kuqheliselo oluzinzileyo, amashishini anokuhamba emanzini anesiphithiphithi sorhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe kwaye avele omelele kwelinye icala. Njengesiqhelo, ukubeka iliso kuphuhliso lwe-geopolitical kunye nokugcina izicwangciso zolawulo lomngcipheko olomeleleyo kuya kuba yimfuneko kwimpumelelo kweli nqanaba lihlala livela.
Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-02-2024
