Njengoba sibheke phambili ku-2025, isimo sohwebo emhlabeni wonke sibonakala sinenselele futhi sigcwele amathuba. Ukungaqiniseki okukhulu okufana nokwehla kwamandla emali kanye nokungezwani kwezwe kuyaqhubeka, nokho ukuqina nokuvumelana nezimo kwemakethe yezohwebo yomhlaba kunikeza isisekelo esigcwele ithemba. Intuthuko esemqoka yalo nyaka ikhombisa ukuthi izinguquko zesakhiwo kwezohwebo emhlabeni jikelele ziyakhula, ikakhulukazi ngaphansi kwethonya elikabili lokuthuthuka kwezobuchwepheshe kanye nezikhungo zomnotho ezishintshayo.
Ngo-2024, ukuhweba kwezimpahla emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2.7% ukuze kufinyelele ku-$33 trillion, ngokusho kwezibikezelo ze-WTO. Nakuba lesi sibalo siphansi kunezibikezelo zangaphambilini, sisagqamisa ukuqina namandla okukhula emhlabeni jikelele
uhwebo. I-China, njengelinye lamazwe ahweba kakhulu emhlabeni, isalokhu iyinjini ebalulekile yokukhula kwezohwebo emhlabeni wonke, iqhubeka nokubamba iqhaza elihle naphezu kwengcindezi yesidingo sasekhaya nesamazwe ngamazwe.
Sibheke phambili ku-2025, izitayela ezimbalwa ezibalulekile zizoba nomthelela omkhulu ekuhwebeni komhlaba. Okokuqala, ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe, ikakhulukazi ukusetshenziswa okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe bedijithali obufana ne-AI ne-5G, kuzothuthukisa kakhulu ukusebenza kahle kwezohwebo futhi kunciphise izindleko zokuthengiselana. Ikakhulukazi, uguquko lwedijithali luzoba amandla abalulekile aqhubekisela phambili ukukhula kwezohwebo, okwenza amabhizinisi amaningi abambe iqhaza emakethe yomhlaba. Okwesibili, ukusimama kancane kancane komnotho womhlaba kuzodala ukwanda kwesidingo, ikakhulukazi ezimakethe ezisafufusa ezifana ne-India kanye ne-Southeast Asia, okuzoba yizinto ezintsha ezivelele ekukhuleni kwezohwebo emhlabeni jikelele. Ukwengeza, ukuqhubeka nokuqaliswa kwesinyathelo esithi "Ibhande Nomgwaqo" kuzothuthukisa ukubambisana kwezohwebo phakathi kweChina namazwe ahambisana nalo mzila.
Nokho, indlela eya ekululameni inezinselele. Izici ze-geopolitical zisalokhu zingukungaqiniseki okukhulu okuthinta ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke. Izinkinga eziqhubekayo ezifana nokungqubuzana kwe-Russian-Ukraine, ukungezwani kwezohwebo phakathi kwe-US ne-China, nokuvikelwa kwezohwebo kwamanye amazwe kubangela izinselele ekuthuthukisweni okuzinzile kokuhwebelana komhlaba wonke. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ijubane lokusimama komnotho womhlaba wonke lingase lingalingani, okuholela ekushintshashintsheni kwentengo yempahla nezinqubomgomo zohwebo.
Naphezu kwalezi zinselele, kunezizathu zokuba nethemba ngekusasa. Ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kobuchwepheshe akuqhubeki nje kuphela uguquko ezimbonini zendabuko kodwa kuletha namathuba amasha ohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe. Inqobo nje uma ohulumeni namabhizinisi besebenza ndawonye ukubhekana nalezi zinselelo, u-2025 kungenzeka alethe umjikelezo omusha wokukhula kohwebo lomhlaba wonke.
Kafushane, umbono wokuhwebelana komhlaba wonke ngo-2025 unethemba kodwa udinga ukuqapha kanye nokusabela okuqinile ezinseleleni eziqhubekayo nezivelayo. Noma kunjalo, ukuqina okuboniswe onyakeni odlule kusinike isizathu sokukholelwa ukuthi imakethe yohwebo yomhlaba wonke izoletha ikusasa eliqhakazile.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-07-2024
