Ukuzulazula Ngokungaqiniseki: Yini Eseza Ngezohwebo Lomhlaba Wonke ngo-2025

Njengoba unyaka ka-2024 usondela esiphelweni, ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kubhekane nezinselelo kanye nokunqoba kwazo. Imakethe yamazwe ngamazwe, ehlala iguquguquka, yakhelwe ukungezwani kwezwe, ukuguquguquka kwezomnotho, kanye nentuthuko esheshayo yezobuchwepheshe. Ngalezi zici ezikhona, yini esingayilindela emhlabeni wohwebo lwangaphandle njengoba singena ku-2025?

Abahlaziyi bezomnotho kanye nochwepheshe bezohwebo banethemba elikhulu ngekusasa lohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, nakuba benokubhuka. Ukusimama okuqhubekayo kobhubhane lwe-COVID-19 bekungalingani ezifundeni nasezimbonini ezahlukahlukene, okungenzeka ukuthi kuzoqhubeka nokuba nomthelela ekuhwebeni onyakeni ozayo. Kodwa-ke, kunezindlela ezimbalwa ezibalulekile ezingachaza isimo sohwebo lomhlaba wonke ngo-2025.

uhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe
global-trade-2

Okokuqala, ukukhuphuka kwezinqubomgomo zokuvikela kanye nezithiyo zohwebo kungase kuqhubeke, njengoba amazwe efuna ukuvikela izimboni neminotho yawo yasekhaya. Lokhu kuthambekela kubonakale eminyakeni yamuva nje, njengoba amazwe amaningana asebenzisa amanani entengo kanye nemikhawulo ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe. Ngo-2025, singabona imifelandawonye yezohwebo enamasu amaningi akha njengoba amazwe ebheke ukuqinisa ukuqina kwawo kwezomnotho ngokusebenzisana nezivumelwano zesifunda.

Okwesibili, ukusheshisa ukuguqulwa kwedijithali ngaphakathi komkhakha wezohwebo kuhlelelwe ukuqhubeka. I-E-commerce ibone ukukhula okukhulu, futhi lo mkhuba kulindeleke ukuthi uqhubekisele phambili izinguquko endleleni izimpahla namasevisi athengwa futhi athengiswa ngayo emingceleni. Izinkundla zedijithali zizoba yingxenye yohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, kube lula ukuxhumana nokusebenza kahle. Nokho, lokhu kuletha nesidingo sokubuyekezwa

imithethonqubo kanye namazinga okuqinisekisa ukuvikeleka kwedatha, ubumfihlo, nokuncintisana okufanele.

Okwesithathu, ukusimama kanye nokukhathazeka kwemvelo kuya ngokuya kubaluleke kakhulu ekubumbeni izinqubomgomo zohwebo. Njengoba ukuqwashisa ngokushintsha kwesimo sezulu kukhula, abathengi namabhizinisi ngokufanayo bafuna imikhiqizo nezinqubo ezivumelana nemvelo. Ngo-2025, singalindela ukuthi izinhlelo zokuhwebelana ngokuluhlaza zizokhula ngamandla, kube nezindinganiso eziqinile zemvelo ezibekwayo ekuthengisweni nangaphandle. Izinkampani ezibeka phambili ukusimama zingase zithole amathuba amasha emakethe yomhlaba, kuyilapho lezo ezihlulekayo ukuzivumelanisa nezimo zingabhekana nemikhawulo yokuhweba noma ukuhlehla kwabathengi.

Okwesine, indima yezimakethe ezisafufusa ayikwazi ukubukelwa phansi. Le minotho kulindeleke ukuthi ibhekane nengxenye enkulu yokukhula komhlaba eminyakeni ezayo. Njengoba beqhubeka nokuthuthuka futhi bedidiyela emnothweni womhlaba, umthelela wabo emaphethini ohwebo emhlabeni wonke uzokhula ngamandla. Abatshalizimali nabahwebi kufanele banake kakhulu izinqubomgomo zezomnotho kanye namasu okuthuthukisa la mandla akhulayo, njengoba angaveza kokubili amathuba nezinselele esimweni sokuhwebelana esithuthukayo.

Okokugcina, i-geopolitical dynamics izohlala iyisici esibalulekile esithinta ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke. Izingxabano eziqhubekayo kanye nobudlelwano bokusebenzelana phakathi kwemibuso emikhulu kungaholela ekushintsheni emizileni yezohwebo kanye nokusebenzisana. Isibonelo, ukungaboni ngaso linye phakathi kwe-United States ne-China mayelana nezindaba zezohwebo sekuvele kuwumise kabusha uchungechunge lwempahla kanye nokufinyelela ezimakethe ezimbonini eziningi. Ngo-2025, izinkampani kumele zihlale zisebenza kanzima futhi zilungele ukuzulazula kulezi zindawo zezepolitiki eziyinkimbinkimbi ukuze zigcine ukuncintisana kwazo.

Sengiphetha, njengoba sibheke phambili ku-2025, umhlaba wohwebo lwangaphandle ubonakala ulungele ukuqhubeka nokuvela. Nakuba ukungaqiniseki njengokuntengantenga komnotho, izinxushunxushu zezombangazwe, nobungozi bendawo ezungezile kubhebhetheka, kukhona nentuthuko ethembisayo emkhathizwe. Ngokuhlala benolwazi futhi bevumelana nezimo, amabhizinisi nabakhi benqubomgomo bangasebenza ndawonye ukuze basebenzise amandla ohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe futhi bakhuthaze indawo yemakethe yamazwe ngamazwe ephumelelayo futhi esimeme.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-21-2024